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RE: Life Not So Random page 4This is a discussion thread · 37 replies Nigel: Perhaps I should apologise - I sincerely wanted to know your answer as it's a possible important first step towards a thread of logic that might prove or disprove your theory, but I should have realised that Gerry would get out his toy cannon and make popping noises at you.I think EdH's Redcar reply was excellent - Redcar's an addition to the lottery player's armoury, and in the absence of any conclusive maths or statistics to the contrary, it's up to potential users to decide how useful it is. Evil Nigel
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Gerry: [nq:1]Perhaps I should apologise - I sincerely wanted to know your answer as it's a possible important first step towards ... theory, but I should have realised that Gerry would get out his toy cannon and make popping noises at you.[/nq]Pop Pop I seem to recall a few off topic posts from you popping George Bush. Enough said ? I too would like to see an explanation from Gary other than a one word answer followed by some unintelligible nonsense. [nq:1]I think EdH's Redcar reply was excellent - Redcar's an addition to the lottery player's armoury, and in the absence of any conclusive maths or statistics to the contrary, it's up to potential users to decide how useful it is.[/nq] The Redcar strategy, not the software, * not the software * is a variation on the age old hot/cold theory. All HC theories are flawed in some way and Redcar theory is no different. One more time. The Redcar theory claims these combinations with no 3 hits in the last 57 draws are overdue because of the 57:1 odds. Theodds don't say that. Gary says that and has never offered a credible explanation why he thinks that. The 57:1 odds do not dictate what is going to happen in any specific way or in any specific timeframe. They tell us what to expect on average in future draws. Yes there are combinations with no three hits in 57 draws. There will be. The pool size for 3 hits in 57 draws is larger and it will cover 3,4,5,6 hits more often. It will do that because it can. It is bigger. In lotto bigger is better in terms of getting more hits but worse in terms of dealing with higher odds. The no 3 hit field will win 37% of the time at odds of about 5M to one The 3 hit field will win 63% of the time at odds of about 9M to one. It washes out to odds of 14M to one Neither field offers any advantage, not even a slight advantage as has been implied in the past by Gary. That is in Google somewhere. The Redcar theory is average. That isn't meant as a put down. All theories and methods are average. To say or imply a method is better than average doesn't do anybody any good. That implication has been made in the past. It's also in Google somewhere. This newsgroup will go down the throat of a stranger who comes in here attempting to float a system based on flawed logic and will look the other way when a regular does the same thing. That perplexes me. I understand that people are looking few new and exciting ways to attack the problem and that will continue. There will also be people here who will attack the theory when it is based on obvious flawed logic. Toy cannon pops included. Have you ever noticed I don't take pops at your North American forecasts? It's because you're smart enough not to get over your head and start making claims you can't or won't support. A while back you asked me to explain wheel improvement in some detail. I did that. Are you willing to explain your forecasting methods and expectations in some detail ? Gerry
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Nigel: [nq:1]I seem to recall a few off topic posts from you popping George Bush. Enough said ?[/nq]He's a politician therefore he deserves it! [nq:1]I too would like to see an explanation from Gary other than a one word answer followed by some unintelligible nonsense.[/nq] I was thinking along the lines of a reductio ab adsurdum, but I'm stuck down a dead end at the moment. [nq:1]Have you ever noticed I don't take pops at your North American forecasts? It's because you're smart enough not to get over your head and start making claims you can't or won't support.[/nq] I hope the statistics will eventually do the talking for me. [nq:1]A while back you asked me to explain wheel improvement in some detail. I did that. Are you willing to explain your forecasting methods and expectations in some detail ?[/nq] The forecasting methods - no. I'm paranoid about the possible value of the IPR. It's no secret though that I use historical data to generate forecasts so I have some sympathy for gARY and his Redcar strategy. As for expectations, that's a difficult question. My current system for the North American Lottery Forecasts is substantially underperforming my initial expectation but it looks to be worth sticking with until I can get major improvements in place. [nq:1]Gerry[/nq] I expect gARY will get his toy cannon out and go pop pop back at you! While I enjoy reading the posts, there are some useful nuggets of wheeling theory lurking in there and it would be a shame if most people consigned them to the killfile without reading them. Evil Nigel
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Gerry: [nq:2]I seem to recall a few off topic posts from you popping George Bush. Enough said ?[/nq][nq:1]He's a politician therefore he deserves it![/nq] In the interest of fairness will you be giving Kerry equal time ?
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Nigel: [nq:2]He's a politician therefore he deserves it![/nq][nq:1]In the interest of fairness will you be giving Kerry equal time ?[/nq] No. Life is not fair and neither am I. Kerry is almost totally unknown in the UK, so you'd have to wait for Kerry to get elected then for Michael Moore to make a documentary about him. It's probably true the other way round - what do you know about Michael Howard (who happens to be the Conservative leader this month)? Evil Nigel
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Gerry: [nq:2]In the interest of fairness will you be giving Kerry equal time ?[/nq][nq:1]No. Life is not fair and neither am I. Kerry is almost totally unknown in the UK, so you'd have to wait for Kerry to get elected then for Michael Moore to make a documentary about him.[/nq] If you'd like I could write a couple of sentences on Kerry to get you up to speed. Moore has figured out how to take freedom of speech to a new level. He's actually trying to replace the tabloids with his trash. Moore trashes Bush Moore makes a boatload of money(bigger than a rowboat) Moore enjoys the Bush tax breaks for the wealthy Moore goes to Republican convention Bush poll numbers go up Bush probably wants more from Moore Politics is like a lottery influenced by random events and other unpredictable stuff. Word on the street is they're all out looking at cars. Red, White, and Blue seem to be popular at the mo
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Nigel: [nq:2]Have you ever noticed I don't take pops at your North American forecasts?[/nq]I've just noticed that the Massachusetts Mass Millions has been retired and replaced by a 46 ball lottery. That was the only North American lottery for which my published forecasts were currently ahead of expectation. Talk about raising the bar! Evil Nigel
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Gerry: [nq:1]I've just noticed that the Massachusetts Mass Millions has been retired and replaced by a 46 ball lottery. That was the only North American lottery for which my published forecasts were currently ahead of expectation. Talk about raising the bar! Evil Nigel[/nq]Kerry is from Mass. Now you might understand. Sorry Nigel, I really did try to stop myself. I really did, really
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