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  • The effect of varying the bet amount

    As long as your pass/come/DP/DC bet amount stays the same, your net outcome depends only on the W-L record; it doesn't make any difference in what order the wins and losses come. The bettor is not "chasing" any particular pattern of wins and losses. The net is always ( (W - L) * unit )...
    Craps by Usenet 1 yr 190 days ago Betting, Craps, Gambling, Martingale, Mathamatics, Mathematics, Odds, Pass Line, Strategies, Systems, Variance
  • For a given degree of good luck, what number of decisions maximizes profit?

    ACDOC mentioned an optimum amount of time for a session of different kinds of bets. I don't think you can ever really use time in simulation. If you use rolls you have three problems: 1. The number of rolls per unit time varies considerably with casinoconditions 2. In a program or a simulator, if...
    Craps by Usenet 1 yr 206 days ago Betting, Casinos, Craps, Gambling, Jobs, Mathamatics, Mathematics, Odds, Pass Line, Simulations, Variance
  • MAFIA revealed

    ving (verb, verbal, verbalness, actioness, eigenvalue, root nerve, optical nerve) deriving (driving)(gaulishly taking on self and ving) hunning(Sikhing, pleasuring) deriving optional hunnersOfDeriving optionalHun(t)crossIng(hunting) (recruits//prospects) (revolution middle way) meditation way SEEKING...
    Lottery by Usenet 2 yr 185 days ago Betting, Mathamatics, Mathematics, Odds, Statistics, Variance
  • An 'odds' experiment

    While playing craps last night, I purposely refrain from making more than just the Passline bet with multiple odds and mindfully watched the others play, intending to prove out the math in a single real life session. The table seemed almost perfect for this little experiment. It was neither stone cold...
    Craps by Usenet 3 yr 37 days ago Betting, Craps, Gambling, Mathamatics, Mathematics, Odds, Pass Line, Variance
  • REPOST from RGPoker (by Beuksux) - Number's due, Gambler's Fallacy

    KK cracked again..things back to normal: good to see things are back to normal, today. The culprit, J8..2 pair on the river. So i'm about 1 for my last 12 with AA and KK..vs 44 88 J8 Q3, etc. Figure my big pairs need to hold up about 45 in a row for the stats to balance out. But I'm hopeful ...
    Craps by Usenet 3 yr 82 days ago Mathamatics, Variance
  • Coming up with a strategy

    Although I have killfiled ACDOC and no longer read his posts, I saw something of his quoted in a post by Gregg. ACDOC referred to my statement: "The point I've been making is that this is of no use in coming up with a craps strategy. As I've shown over and over, the results in the first...
    Craps by Usenet 3 yr 118 days ago Betting, Casinos, Craps, Gamblers, Gambling, Martingale, Mathamatics, Strategies, Systems, Variance
  • Another Blatant Lie

    "To answer you specifically..10 groups of 72000 tosses per group showed the following results. One group hit 12,000 sevens right on the schnozzola, the other 9 groups ranged from a high 12,148 sevens and a low of 11,796 sevens." I believe this claim to be another blatant and flagrant lie. Professor Strategy...
    Craps by Usenet 3 yr 120 days ago Craps, Gambling, Games, Mathamatics, Simulations, Strategies, Systems, Variance
  • Thurs nba plays

    Wedn we lost -105 units on the under on golden state. We were never in jeopardy of winning this bet. Our high point so far has been +51.63 units and that was on jan 16th. So in 9 days we are on a 10.7 unit downswing. This is called variance or perhaps reversion to the mean:) The only question is where...
    Sports Betting by Usenet 3 yr 187 days ago Basketball, Betting, Gambling, Games, Mathamatics, NBA, Variance
  • Friday nba plays

    wedn we had an 0-3 day:( For -3.30 units. All games were close until the 4 th quarter but none of the 3 teams could hang on and cover. Also I had the rather unpleasant experience of someone messaging me on yahoo complaining. He was rather insulting. So..let me say a few things before I post the plays...
    Sports Betting by Usenet 3 yr 193 days ago American Football, Basketball, Betting, Gamblers, Gambling, Games, Mathamatics, NBA, NFL, Strategies, Variance
  • Wedn nba +nhl+nfl plays

    A good day yesterday. Dallas under 205 was a winner by almost 20 pts! That brings us to our highest percentage gain yet. 16.26% on 207 bets. Things have been great..but let me discuss a second about draw down..or variance. Being a poker player it is generally accepted that your bankroll should be at...
    Sports Betting by Usenet 3 yr 251 days ago Betting, Gambling, Games, IGaming, Mathamatics, Mathematics, Online, Percentages, Poker, Sports, Variance
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